Internet Casino Gambling | Party Poker Games | Türkçe Online Casino

Welcome !

Play at Goldenpalace
> 300% Bonus now !
Play at Windows Casino
> Win a Ferrari !

Man's instinct to gamble is the only reason he is still not a monkey up in the trees - Mario Puzo

>> Gambling Articles: Article authors sign up first <<

Betting MLB: Ballpark Figures Keeps Betting Totals in Perspective

A few years back we wrote an article on the importance of evaluating how teams hit left-handed and right-handed pitchers. In summary, we surmised it was important, yet keeping in perspective, we demonstrated how the numbers can be greatly affected by random chance.
Hence we warned about becoming too dependant on deceptive statistics that are so often fools gold.
We have very similar thoughts about comparing ballpark statistics. There are some stadiums that could be classified as "pitchers’ ballparks" while others could reasonably be labeled more friendly to hitters.

Yet again, we have to give props to the four-letter evil empire ESPN. In their fantasy baseball section, they have a straight-forward “Park Factor” that compares that rate of stats at home versus the rate of stats on the road. A rate that is higher than 1.000 favors the hitter, with lower than 1.000 favoring the pitcher.

Still, statistical reliability would assume the quality of the opponent has been equal at home and on the road.
Random chance indicates some teams will face or use a disproportionate number of aces and No. 2 starters in one location. This deviation is just one example.

Then there is wind direction. Perhaps several teams have had the wind blowing in straight from center a higher percentage while other squads has an overbalanced number blowing out to leftfield.

Why, according the ESPN Ballpark Factor, is Boston the top hitters’ park this year, but was 13th last season?
As of this writing, Rogers Centre in Toronto is the second best pitchers park, yet last year it was a hitters paradise ranking 7th in hitting (24th pitching).

Petco Park is a rare exception. They are currently the top pitcher’s ball orchard after finishing first each of the previous three years and third in 2003.

So how do the elite gamblers use the stats? To measure the reliability of pitchers’ splits is how we employ them. For example, virtually every Padre is going to have statistically better stats at home than on the road. The fact that Chris Young, Greg Maddux, and
David Wells have significantly better stats at home than on the road proves to be the rule, not the exception. Hence the educated eye realizes there is not an angle in their respective splits.

Yet Jake Peavy is actually a better pitcher on the road than at home. This is an advantage for the gambler. A pitcher’s splits are most effective when measured against the ballpark stats.

Is there an edge for the over/under better? Often short-term, but rarely is the edge long-term as the sportsbooks adjust. As of June 19, the Padres last eight road games and 11-of-12 has seen a posted total of 8.0 or higher.
Yet 15 of their last 18 home games have seen a total of 7.5 or lower. Thinking somehow the sportsbooks are oblivious to such angles is one way for a gambler to subsidize bookmakers.

The Park Factor statistic is a valuable handicapping weapon, but more for statistical validation. Those who think they’ve found the Holy Grail with stadium comparisons are not in the same ballpark as the sharpies.
Brand new features: live odds, matchups from StatFox and Sports DataBases, injuries, free picks and more. Click here. Approved sportsbooks are at www.linetrackers.com

## End of Article

What do you want to do next ?

Play Casino Games
$555 Cash Bonus, more than
75 games
Bet on Sports
10% Cash Bonus, Live Lines Inferno
Play Backgammon
20% Cash Bonus, $50000 Tournaments
Play Internet Poker
110% Cash Bonus, $175000 Guaranteed
Bet on Horses
10% Cash Bonus, Horse Betting Toolkit
Play Online Bingo
Free $6 Bonus. Bingo Tourneys, Slots, Video Poker

Gambling Article Source: http://www.eternalgambling.com/gambling

Joe Duffy, the author, is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com

Please Rate this Gambling Article

Not yet Rated

Get Systems articles via RSS by clicking the icon above !

Additional Gambling Articles - Home | Betting | Systems

• Best Online Casinos	• No Download Casino
• UK Online Casino	• Casino Reviews
• Poker Glossary	• Online Poker
• Online Betting	• Online Bingo
• Casino En Ligne	• Casino En Linea
• Giochi Di Casino	• Sportwetten
• Casino Spiele	• Poker Spiele

The Gaming Club - Best Online Casino

The Gaming Club has proven its worth in the online gambling arena since it first started taking bets in 1995. It consistently provides you with pretty exciting promotions, very fast payouts, quality games and discreet privacy and security. Additionally a competitive New Player Sign-up Bonus ensures that you can become one of their famous more winners, many times and surely more often. Play now !

Full Tilt - Best Online Poker

Full Tilt Poker offers you the best in on line poker: world famous pros like Phil Ivey or Gus Hansen, a huge bonus of up to $600, real online poker or play money games. Its online poker room was created by world class poker professionals, and surely provides you with the ability to learn, chat, and also play online poker with the pros, and you will be rewarded with a 100% signup poker bonus. Play now !